Monday night's NFC East matchup between the Cowboys and Eagles has lost significant luster with Philadelphia quarterback Jalen Hurts sidelined for the season due to a blood clot. Dallas opened as a sizable road favorite after the line flipped from Eagles minus-1, though both teams enter at 2-4 and remain mathematically alive in a division led by the 4-2-1 Giants.
VSiN analysts express skepticism about the Cowboys covering the large number. Dave Tuley notes Dallas has been a major disappointment with a confused coaching staff, struggling quarterback Dak Prescott, and a defense ranking 30th in yards allowed (382.5 per game) and 25th in scoring defense (26.5 points per game). Since a win over Houston, the Cowboys offense has looked bewildered, lacking balance in the running game.
Philadelphia's offense is also a mess, but backup quarterback Tanner McKee showed improvement in the second half against Carolina, and running back Saquon Barkley is expected to return. McKee will face a Dallas defense allowing the third-most yards in the league.
Historical trends favor the under. NFL home underdogs on Monday Night Football have gone under the total at a 25-11-2 rate (69.4%) since September 2021, averaging just 41.1 points per game. The Eagles are 15-3-1 to the under in their last 19 Monday night appearances, and coach Nick Sirianni is 17-5 to the under in his last 22 games following a loss.
With an interesting split of 40 percent of bets and 60 percent of money on different sides, Tuley expects Dallas to use a different approach but ultimately leans toward the under in this rivalry game, suggesting the Cowboys could score 20 points and still fail to cover.
Sources: Las Vegas Review-Journal
Original reporting: Las Vegas Review-Journal →
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