The latest NFL betting analysis highlights a mix of straight‑up records and against‑the‑spread (ATS) trends for the week’s games. Jacksonville, despite a 2‑3 straight‑up record, is 3‑1‑1 ATS in its last five meetings with Houston, and the Jaguars have covered the spread in 11 of 13 recent regular‑season games while the total has gone under in four straight contests. The Bears have hit the under in four consecutive games and are 8‑3 under in their last 11 outings, while Atlanta’s Falcons have seen the total go over in their last three games and are 1‑6 ATS at home.
In the AFC North, the home team has covered all four recent meetings, and the Ravens are 7‑2 ATS on the road since early 2025, riding a 7‑1 over run. The Browns have covered their last four home games. Meanwhile, the Titans are 0‑5 straight‑up but have covered twice ATS, and Indianapolis’ Colts have won and covered the last six meetings, with the over hitting 4‑1 in the last five contests.
Patriots bettors can feel confident after three straight wins and covers against the Jets, who are 1‑5 ATS on the road and have seen the total go under in four of five games. The Giants hold a 4‑1 ATS edge under John Harbaugh, while the Saints have missed the spread in their last three games. Philadelphia, now without Jalen Hurts, is 5‑8 ATS since late 2025, giving a slight edge to the Panthers, who are 11‑7 ATS in the same span.
The Steelers are 0‑2 straight‑up and ATS on the road this season, while Tampa Bay snapped a 13‑game ATS losing streak and is 6‑2 under since late 2025, offering a modest tilt toward the under. No specific trend data were provided for the Arizona‑Los Angeles Rams matchup.
Sources: Las Vegas Review-Journal
Original reporting: Las Vegas Review-Journal →
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