NFL props betting: Numbers show Irving, Robinson to be good Sunday plays

NFL props betting: Numbers show Irving, Robinson to be good Sunday plays The search for NFL subordinate props continues as OptaAI and the writer spot value, a pattern summed up by the phrase “oculus to oculus” (say it five times fast). After three weeks, the combined record stands at 7‑1. Attention now turns to what Week 4 may offer. VSiN, The Sports Betting Network See more from OptaAI at VSiN.com. **Bucky Irving over 55½ rushing yards** Green Bay’s defense has struggled to contain opposing rushers this season. Without Micah Parsons, who is not expected back until around Week 6, and still feeling the absence of former defensive coordinator Jeff Hafley, the Packers have allowed 126.3 rushing yards per game to opposing backs, ranking third‑worst in the league. That situation creates an interesting opening for Bucky Irving, especially with rookie running back Jalon Daniels making his first career start. Tampa Bay has repeatedly targeted Irving, incorporating RPO concepts and avoiding obvious third‑and‑long looks for Daniels. Although the Buccaneers enter as underdogs—a factor that usually makes the writer wary of rushing‑over plays—the projected upside appears to outweigh game‑script concerns. OptaAI forecasts Irving for 63.31 rushing yards against a line of 55½, an 8.4 percent edge to the over. **Greg Dulcich over 29½ receiving yards** Miami offensive coordinator Bobby Slowik is beginning to resemble Old Mother Hubbard, leaving Greg Dulcich as perhaps the only viable weapon left in the cupboard. The Dolphins were already thin at receiver before losing De’Von Achane to a torn ACL for the season. Caleb Douglas is nursing an ankle injury and missed Thursday’s practice, while Chris Bell remains sidelined with a knee issue. Malik Washington continues to lead the team, but the matchup looks especially favorable for Dulcich, who saw seven targets last week. Minnesota has already given up sizable receiving totals to tight ends—Tucker Kraft (65 yards) and Jonnu Smith (50) in Week 1, followed by Cade Otton (56) in Week 2. Dulcich posted a 55‑yard effort himself, and with Miami entering as a double‑digit underdog, a pass‑heavy second half seems plausible. OptaI’s projection for Dulcich is the strongest of the five plays discussed: 39.49 receiving yards versus a line of 29½, a 16½ percent advantage to the over. Given the depleted receiving corps, a favorable matchup, and the likelihood of a game script that opens up passing lanes, Dulcich should have ample chances to exceed 30 yards. Play: Greg Dulcich over 29½ receiving yards **Tyler Warren over 48½ receiving yards** Tyler Warren produced a solid performance last week, and the writer returns to him for the Washington showdown. Tight ends have consistently found space against the Commanders. Dallas Goedert tallied 77 receiving yards in Week 1, Jake Ferguson added 43 in Week 2, and AJ Barner contributed 69 in Week 3. Washington allows the seventh‑most receiving yards to tight ends entering Week 4. Additional opportunity exists because Alec Pierce resides on injured reserve and Washington is likely to devote resources to stopping Josh Downs downfield. That should leave Warren to work underneath and in the middle of the field. He functions as the Colts’ second‑option receiver, and his target share has risen each week—five, seven, and then ten last week. With Daniel Jones under center in 2025, Warren averaged 53.8 receiving yards per game. OptaAI projects 57.76 yards against a line of 4