With more than 20,000 entries submitted for Week 5 of the Edge Boost/Average Joe Contest at VSiN, clear public betting trends have emerged using Circa Sports lines from Friday morning. The contest, which includes both NFL and college picks, locks at 8 a.m. PT Saturday.
The Indianapolis Colts hosting the Pittsburgh Steelers drew the highest consensus percentage of any against-the-spread pick, 10 points above the next game. The Colts played in London last week while the Steelers are on extra rest after a Thursday night loss to Cleveland, creating what the report calls a "perfect storm of scheduling situations."
Bettors are heavily fading Baltimore backup quarterback Tyler Huntley with Lamar Jackson ruled out, sending 76 percent of spread picks to the Atlanta Falcons. The Ravens' defense has struggled under first-year coordinator Jesse Minter, and Atlanta has improved since Michael Penix Jr. returned to the lineup.
Two unusual trends appeared: the New Orleans Saints as underdogs attracted 76 percent of spread picks against Minnesota, and the under in that same game drew notable support despite public preference typically favoring overs. The report noted only 11 contestants took the under in the Lions game, while the Monday Night Football over appeared as expected among consensus plays.
Sources: Las Vegas Review-Journal
Original reporting: Las Vegas Review-Journal →
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