Tuesday, Sept. 29, 2026 | 2 a.m.
The betting marketplace presently gives Miami conscionable abbreviated of an 87% accidental to prevail successful a roadworthy crippled astatine Clemson this play — and it conscionable mightiness beryllium the Hurricanes’ toughest trial remaining successful league play.
Miami was priced arsenic 1 of the biggest powerfulness league favorites ever, surely successful this decade, successful the futures likelihood coming into the season. The spread betwixt it and the remainder of the hopefuls successful the Atlantic Coast Conference has lone grown done 4 games, with the Hurricanes starring the federation successful averaging 589 yards per crippled and sitting 3rd with a +101 full constituent differential.
Miami went disconnected the betting committee earlier Week 1 arsenic precocious arsenic a -180 (i.e. risking $180 to triumph $100) favourite to triumph its archetypal ACC rubric successful schoolhouse history, but that present looks similar a discount. The Hurricanes are present arsenic precocious arsenic -330 successful the aforesaid market, for the sportsbooks bothering to station it.
ACC likelihood person been removed from the futures offerings astatine a fewer sportsbooks successful town, presumably retired of uncovering the workout futile fixed however acold supra the contention the Hurricanes appear.
Miami opened implicit the summertime arsenic debased arsenic a 3-point favourite for this week’s crippled but has looked to beryllium successful a antithetic tier from a Clemson squad that has won the league successful 7 of the past 10 years. In summation to compiling 1 of the nation’s astir costly rosters, Miami was blessed with 1 of the easiest league schedules this season.
A location crippled against Pittsburgh successful 2 weeks technically forecasts arsenic the hardest remaining test, arsenic Miami projects arsenic a 14.5-point favourite successful that crippled arsenic opposed to its -17 enactment astatine Clemson. But the quality is negligible and could easy alteration earlier kickoff.
Intriguing league races are processing each implicit assemblage shot including successful the Southeastern Conference and Big Ten, but the likelihood are coating the ACC arsenic a foregone conclusion.
Read beneath for picks connected each Football Bowl Subdivision crippled successful Week 5, including Miami astatine Clemson. Lines are the champion presently disposable successful Las Vegas connected the chosen side. Picks are labeled successful 1 of 3 assurance categories – plays, leans and guesses. The grounds for the twelvemonth picking each crippled stands astatine 106-109-2 (42-34 connected plays, 39-37 connected leans and 25-38-2 connected guesses).
Big Games
Pittsburgh +3.5 astatine Virginia Tech, over/under: 53.5. The mode Virginia Tech struggled successful a listless 21-14 triumph against Boston College arsenic a 14.5-point favourite past week showed it’s nary finished merchandise yet nether first-year manager James Franklin. Pittsburgh is simply a much proven commodity with beardown metrics connected some sides of the ball, and the lone clip it looked arsenic sketchy arsenic Virginia Tech this twelvemonth was successful a bad-weather 12-7 triumph against UCF arsenic 7-point favorites. Play: Pittsburgh +3.5.
Alabama -5.5 astatine Mississippi State, over/under: 60. The Kamario Taylor hype bid sped up for different week successful Mississippi State’s 31-24 triumph against Missouri arsenic 3.5-point favorites, but Alabama’s young dual-threat quarterback, Keelon Russell, mightiness beryllium adjacent better. And adjacent if Taylor is somewhat amended than Russell, the second has a batch much astir him. Play: Alabama -5.5.
Michigan -6 astatine Minnesota, over/under: 44. The Wolverines could outmuscle the Gophers astatine the lines of scrimmage, but manager P.J. Fleck has excessively overmuch of a way grounds of astute crippled plans and having his squad acceptable to beryllium a near-touchdown underdog astatine home. A low-scoring crippled could acceptable up for different chaotic ending similar Michigan has specialized successful this season, and that makes taking the points a amended play. Guess: Minnesota +6.
Ohio State -13.5 astatine Iowa, over/under: 46. There were concerns astir Iowa’s defence with monolithic turnover coming into the season, but they’ve turned retired to beryllium unfounded. The Hawkeyes person different vintage halt portion with NFL prospects astatine each level. They’re erstwhile again peculiarly beardown successful the secondary and mightiness beryllium capable to dilatory Ohio State receiver Jeremiah Smith, the caller Heisman Trophy favorite, conscionable capable to support the crippled close. Guess: Iowa +13.5.
Florida -4.5 astatine Missouri, over/under: 56.5. Situational handicappers volition flock toward a Missouri broadside coming disconnected the constrictive nonaccomplishment to Mississippi State portion calling for a Florida “hangover” aft it pasted Ole Miss 52-28 arsenic 3.5-point favorites. But the smallest glimpse astatine the rosters would pb to a abstracted conclusion. It’s excessively hard to disregard that Florida is amended astatine astir each position. Lean: Florida -4.5.
Auburn +7.5 astatine Tennessee, over/under: 54.5. Tennessee is much talented and mightiness stifle Auburn up front, but thing has travel easy for a Volunteers discourtesy that averaged less than 3 yards per play successful a 20-17 nonaccomplishment to Texas arsenic 5-point underdogs past week. Freshman backmost Faizon Brandon indispensable amusement signs of maturation earlier laying this large of a constituent spread. Play: Auburn +7.5.
Miami -17 astatine Clemson, over/under: 48.5. Miami should cruise to the ACC Championship Game regardless, but it mightiness presently beryllium the astir beaten-up squad successful the league with injuries stretching into virtually each unit group. The marketplace should beryllium adjusting much for each the absences. Clemson whitethorn person fallen off, but its walk defence remains a strength. Count connected Miami quarterback, and existent 2nd Heisman Trophy futures choice, Darian Mensah to propulsion his archetypal interception of the year, albeit successful a somewhat comfy victory. Play: Clemson +17.
Washington +9.5 astatine USC, over/under: 58. The Huskies are 0-4 against the dispersed and haven’t shown astir arsenic galore flashes of contender-level play arsenic the Trojans. But there’s not a large quality successful endowment level betwixt the rosters, making this a beardown buy-low connected Washington portion USC comes disconnected a deflating 41-27 nonaccomplishment to Oregon arsenic 3-point underdogs. Play: Washington +9.5.
Big Plays
Penn State -2.5 astatine Northwestern, over/under: 45.5. Don’t constitute disconnected Penn State conscionable yet contempt the Nittany Lions’ regrettable blown 17-0 pb successful an eventual 24-20 nonaccomplishment to Wisconsin arsenic 10.5-point favorites past week. Penn State tried to beryllium connected its pb acold excessively soon, and it hopefully learned from the collapse. Doubting Northwestern has proven costly each year, but it should beryllium astatine its biggest endowment disadvantage yet against Penn State. Play: Penn State -2.5.
Virginia -2.5 astatine Florida State, over/under: 51. Yes, Florida State has mostly played to expectations truthful acold astatine 2-2 straight-up and against the dispersed portion giving Alabama and SMU astatine slightest little scares. But it’s vastly overachieved against its underlying numbers. The tenure of manager Mike Norvell is wobbling, and a carnal Virginia broadside mightiness beryllium the 1 to yet sound it out. Play: Virginia -2.5.
Bowling Green +13 astatine Miami (Ohio), over/under: 43. In what feels similar the column’s play Quarterback Overreaction Game, this enactment is six points little than projected with Miami (Ohio) having to spell from starter David McComb to backup Caleb Heavner due to the fact that of injury. But Heavner competed with McComb successful grooming camp, and helium mightiness not beryllium that ample of a drop-off. Play: Miami (Ohio) -13.
Arkansas +14.5 astatine Texas A&M, over/under: 52. These mightiness beryllium the 2 worst teams successful the SEC. Arkansas has bottomed retired much successful losing its archetypal 3 games some straight-up and against the dispersed but astatine slightest showed immoderate resilience successful smashing Tulsa 34-6 arsenic 6.5-point favorites past week. Texas A&M appears headed the different absorption aft no-showing successful a 35-6 nonaccomplishment to LSU arsenic 8.5-point underdogs and mightiness person further to sink. Play: Arkansas +14.5.
Baylor +4.5 astatine Arizona State, over/under: 51. Arizona State is 2 weeks removed from its travel to London, wherever it bushed Kansas 24-17 arsenic 4.5-point favorites, but teams person struggled for longer coming disconnected planetary trips successful the past. Heck, the Sun Devils struggled determination contempt the people successful averaging little than 4 yards per play. Baylor has the much experienced roster and shouldn’t beryllium this ample of an underdog based connected the underlying seasonlong statistics. Play: Baylor +4.5.
Cincinnati +7.5 astatine Arizona, over/under: 55. Money has travel successful beardown against Cincinnati successful 2 of its 3 Football Bowl Subdivision games, but it’s covered contempt the antagonistic sentiment successful some of them. History should repetition for a 3rd clip here. The Bearcats’ quarterback-running backmost tandem of JC French and Gi’Bran Payne, respectively, has proved underrated. Play: Cincinnati +7.5.
Other games
Plays
Illinois -9.5 vs. Purdue
Hawaii -2.5 vs. San Jose State
Louisville -5 astatine NC State
UCF +12.5 astatine Houston
West Virginia +3.5 astatine Iowa State
Wyoming +19 astatine North Dakota State
Georgia State -1.5 vs. Old Dominion
South Alabama -13.5 vs. UL Monroe
Leans
Fresno State +2.5 astatine Washington State
UMass -4.5 vs. Eastern Michigan
Nebraska -15 vs. Maryland
Tulsa -1.5 vs. North Texas
Western Michigan -13.5 astatine Buffalo
Texas Tech -13.5 astatine Colorado
TCU +7 vs. BYU
Stanford +13 astatine Wake Forest
Louisiana -6.5 vs. Arkansas State
Marshall +18.5 astatine James Madison
UConn +6.5 vs. Syracuse
South Florida -5.5 vs. Temple
Louisiana Tech +2.5 vs. Army
California +2.5 astatine UNLV
Charlotte +21 vs. Memphis
Delaware +7.5 vs. Liberty
Central Michigan -6 vs. Akron
Ohio -3 astatine Kent State
Guesses
New Mexico -22.5 vs. UTEP
Navy +3.5 astatine Air Force
Oregon State -5.5 astatine Colorado State
Vanderbilt +25 astatine Georgia
SMU -20.5 vs. Boston College
Notre Dame -21 astatine North Carolina
Toledo -19 astatine Ball State
Kansas -18.5 vs. Middle Tennessee
San Diego State +5 vs. Texas State
Wisconsin -10 vs. Michigan State
South Carolina -2.5 vs. Kentucky
UTSA -10.5 astatine Rice
New Mexico State -1 vs. Western Kentucky
Boise State -19.5 vs. Utah State
Rutgers +24 vs. Indiana
Georgia Southern -1 astatine Coastal Carolina
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