BBC Weather’s monthly outlook indicates a spell of high pressure will push temperatures above, and in some areas well above, the seasonal average across the United Kingdom on Wednesday and Thursday. Many parts of England and eastern Wales are expected to see readings climb past 30 °C, with the mercury reaching the mid‑ to upper‑30s in several locations. The heat is forecast to peak on Thursday.
While sunshine will dominate much of the country, an approaching front is set to bring crisp showers, scattered thunderstorms and more widespread rainfall to Northern Ireland, as well as the north and west of Scotland.
On Friday temperatures should ease slightly, though central, eastern and southern England will still likely register in the low 30 °C range. Northern Ireland, Wales, Scotland and northern England will experience a cooler air mass as winds shift to a more westerly to north‑westerly direction, accompanied by scattered showers from the front.
Isolated showers may affect other parts of England, but the majority of the region is expected to remain dry.
Over the weekend temperatures are projected to fall further. Although much of the UK will stay dry, isolated showers are possible, particularly in northern and western areas, where isolated lightning strikes cannot be ruled out.
Looking ahead to Sunday, an Atlantic system could generate more widespread rainfall across Scotland and Northern Ireland, most likely during the day or overnight. At present, however, the bulk of the precipitation is likely to bypass the regions that need it most.