2 hours ago 10 minutes ago
Ben ChuPolicy & Analysis Correspondent, BBC Verify
BBC
After losing the assurance of his MPs and cardinal members of his Cabinet, Sir Keir Starmer appeared extracurricular Downing Street connected Monday to denote his resignation arsenic premier minister.
BBC Verify looks astatine the grounds of his clip successful authorities successful cardinal areas from migration to vigor bills since helium took bureau successful July 2024.
In August 2024, conscionable a period aft taking office, a YouGov canvass suggested that lone 36% of radical thought Sir Keir was doing good arsenic premier curate and 43% said helium was doing badly, giving him a nett popularity standing of minus 7.
This period 74% said helium was doing badly, versus 18% who thought helium was doing well, suggesting his nett popularity had slipped to minus 56.
Other polling from Ipsos suggests that Sir Keir's idiosyncratic ratings among voters fell beneath his predecessors arsenic premier curate successful modern times, including Rishi Sunak, Liz Truss and Boris Johnson.
Economic maturation picked up
Labour's manifesto pledged "to unafraid the highest sustained maturation successful the G7", made up of the US, the UK, Japan, France, Italy, Germany and Canada.
There had been immoderate progress.
Between the 2nd 4th of 2024 - conscionable earlier Labour came to powerfulness - and the archetypal 4th of 2026 information from the OECD suggests that the UK system grew by 2.3% successful total, faster than the remainder of the G7, isolated from the US which grew by 3.7% implicit that aforesaid period.
And the UK system did registry the fastest maturation among the G7 nations successful the archetypal 4th of 2026, erstwhile it expanded by 0.6%.
But astir forecasters bash not expect this show to last, partially due to the fact that of the vigor daze from the US struggle with Iran.
The International Monetary Fund's (IMF) latest forecast suggests UK GDP maturation implicit 2026 arsenic a full volition autumn to 0.8% successful 2026, which would beryllium little than the forecast for the US (2.3%), Canada (1.5%) and France (0.9%).
The IMF besides projects weaker maturation for the UK than the US and Canada successful 2027.
On tiny boats, Sir Keir pledged to "smash the gangs" down them but these Channel crossings person continued nether his premiership.
However, determination are signs of a slowdown successful the complaint of arrivals.
Under Labour wide migration to the UK and nett migration (the quality betwixt migration and emigration) person some fallen significantly.
In the astir caller authoritative estimates for 2025 nett migration was 171,000, down 48% implicit the erstwhile twelvemonth and down from a highest yearly complaint of 944,000 successful 2023, nether the Conservatives.
On wellness Sir Keir pledged that 92% of patients successful England would beryllium seen wrong 18 weeks by the extremity of the Parliament.
The wide fig of waits for attraction successful England successful April was 7.22 million, down from 7.62 cardinal successful June 2024, a alteration of 400,000.
The latest home vigor terms cap acceptable by Ofgem, the vigor regulator, for the summertime of 2026 is an yearly complaint of £1,862 for a emblematic household - successful portion reflecting the interaction of planetary events similar the Iran war.
Benefit spending increased
A large operator of this summation is projected to beryllium wellness and disablement payment payments to working-age adults, successful peculiar much grants of Personal Independence Payments (PIP).
The full working-age big wellness and disablement payment measure is forecast to emergence from £58.2bn successful 2024-25 to £78.1bn successful 2029-30.
The authoritative interaction appraisal suggests that this volition effect successful 450,000 less children successful comparative poorness - aft lodging costs - by the extremity of the Parliament than determination different would person been.
Additional reporting by Tom Edgington, Becky Dale, Aidan McNamee, Jess Carr, Wesley Stephenson and Daniel Wainwright
English (US)·